Why people calculate the probability of God?
Yesterday this article was published on NZ Herald:
The author, Dr Jeff Tallon, a physicist, wastes two pages of interesting information to justify why it is likely to be a God out there.
I have a friend, probably one of the most intelligent persons I ever met and it turns out that he believes in God. He gave me the only rational explanation I ever heard from people who believe in God. He said something like:
“If God wanted to give us a rational proof of his existence he’d just come to earth and say: Hey! Believe in me, I’m here! But no, it’s all about faith, not logic. You have to believe by yourself”.
So Dr. Jeff in this article is committing a basic mistake: He is trying to use statistics to justify his belief and consequently, he is completely missing the point.
If the probability of the creation of the universe and life is so minimal, so unlikely to occur, then the probability of the existence of a superior being that managed to create the universe is even less likely. Therefore the whole article is a waste of time.
But still quite fun to read 
My former business partner used to say: “The problem about statistics is that when you torture numbers they will confess anything you want”.
For instance, I hereby declare that drinking water turns people into murderers. After all, 100% of the murderers used to drink water.
There you go, now I have a proof for my belief. Easy
Shame on you, Dr…
Learning to separate personal beliefs from science is the first important rule for a scientist.